There are many special systems for picking a football win and there seems to be a thousand different “Cheat Sheets” out there. The best system is common sense and betting with a well laid out plan.
Football Point Spreads
Can 3½ points be a better line than 9½ points? You bet!
Football scoring is really a numbers game … points are added towards the score in units of 2, 3, 6, 7 or 8. Using this on your mind, its crucial to understand that CERTAIN POINT SPREADS posted from the bookmaker ARE MORE IMPORTANT than others. Just must be relatively high percentage of games end having a margin of victory in increments of those numbers, It‘s imperative that attention be paid to the foremost meaningful point spreads.
Well over half of all pro football games end with one of ten possible differences in the score: 1, 3, 4, 6, 7, 10, 11, 13, 14, or 17 (not necessarily in that order!)
So, the “Half-Point” move off any of these numbers can represent a significant betting opportunity.
Watch for Threes!
For instance, a type of +3. 5 is really a BARGAIN when compared with that same underdog at +3 … this indicates the favored team must now score a touchdown instead of a field goal in an effort to win the overall game. So, in essence, a line transfer to +3. 5 could be considered a lot more significant that, say, a line move from +5 to +5. 5 judi bola.
And, by a similar logic, a point spread that moves from +3 to +2. 5 indicates a RISKY BET upon the underdog. These half-point line changes given by a point spread of 3 could be a lot more significant than larger changes.
As an example, a line change from +7. 5 to +9. 5 is hardly worth noticing. Because football games don‘t usually end having a margin of 8 or 9, the move from +7. 5 to +9. 5 does not make much difference. Each time a team covers, or fails to cover, 7. 5 points, they almost always cover, or neglect to cover, 9. 5 also.
Lucky 13 – It is the Magic Number!
To gamble on football, It is important to realize that certain scores are more likely to occur than other scores. Would you believe that only 13 different numbers represent more than 66% of all NFL football scores!
It is true! When predicting final football scores, you must take into account these REAL NUMBERS AGEN SBOBET…
7, 10, 13, 14, 16, 17, 20, 21, 23, 24, 27, 28, and 31
These numbers (plus scores inside the category of Over 40 ) are the only real real numbers worth considering when forecasting the last outcome. Always adjust your predictions accordingly.
Basically, say you‘ve got forecast the Titans during the Rams using a score of 30-26 … this score probably won’t happen sbobet casino ! Adjust your numbers to some score with a better probability of occurring … say, 31-24 or 28-27. Now you‘re handling a point spread worthy of consideration.